SAWN SOFTWOOD Secretariat introduction by Mr. Ed Pepke, Marketing Specialist, UNECE & FAO Timber Section Dr. Chris Gaston, Group Leader, Markets and Economics, Forintek Canada Mr. Lars-Goran Olsson, Marketing Specialist, Swedish Wood Association UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 CONTENTS OF PRESENTATION Highlights from Forest Products Annual Market Review, 2000-2001 Sawn softwood forecasts for 2001 and 2002 - Europe - North America - Russian Federation UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Forest Products Annual Market Review, 2000-2001 findings (1 of 4)
In 2000 in the UNECE region, production of sawn softwood reached a new high of 264 million m3, a 1.6% increase over 1999. Nordic countries production and exports were at record highs in 2000, and shipments of further processed sawn softwood products are increasing. Nordic countries' and Austria continue to see growth in exports of sawn softwood outside of the EU/EFTA region, especially to Japan. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Forest Products Annual Market Review, 2000-2001 findings (2 of 4) Growth in exports from central and eastern Europe, 13% from 1999 to 2000, is considerably higher than the export growth rate in the EU/EFTA subregion of Europe of 4%. Sawn softwood exports from Canada to the United States made record highs in 1999 and 2000, representing roughly 35% of total United States consumption. Canadian exports of further processed sawnwood products, including wood furniture, reached record levels in 2000. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE
Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Forest Products Annual Market Review, 2000-2001 findings (3 of 4) United States exports of sawn softwood continue near their decade lows of 1998, at less than 3 million m3, due to increased domestic consumption and reduced production. United States imports from South America and Europe are at record levels. Expiration of the Canada United States Softwood Lumber Agreement in March 2001 has created much apprehension for Canadian producers, leading to a drop in shipments and higher prices. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Forest Products Annual Market Review, 2000-2001 findings (4 of 4) While Japanese import volumes of sawn softwood remain considerably below the 1997 peak of over 10 million m3, Japan remains an important market for supplier regions around the globe. Sawn softwood production and trade increased
sharply to record levels in France, Germany and Switzerland following the December 1999 windstorms and sawnwood prices weakened. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Europe: Sawn softwood 100,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 Production P-F 02 20 00 20 98 19
96 19 94 19 92 19 90 50,000 19 1000 m3 90,000 Consumption C-F UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Europe: Sawn softwood
50,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Imports M-F 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19
90 0 19 1000 m3 40,000 Exports X-F UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Production P-F 02 20 00 20 98
19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 160,000 150,000 140,000 130,000 120,000 110,000 100,000 19 1000 m3 North America: Sawn softwood
Consumption C-F UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Imports M-F 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92
19 90 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 19 1000 m3 North America: Sawn softwood Exports X-F UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Russian Federation: Sawn softwood 50,000
30,000 20,000 10,000 Production P-F 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 0 19
1000 m3 40,000 Consumption C-F UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 02 20 00 20 98 19 96 19 94 19
92 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 19 1000 m3 Russian Federation: Sawn softwood Exports X-F UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001
Next sawn softwood presentations Dr. Chris Gaston, Group Leader, Markets and Economics, Forintek Canada Corp. Mr. Lars-Goran Olsson, Marketing Specialist, Swedish Wood Association Discussion UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001 Ed Pepke Forest Products Marketing Specialist UNECE &FAO Timber Section 439 Palais des Nations CH-1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland Tel. +41 22 917 2872 Fax +41 22 917 0041 E-mail: [email protected] www.unece.org/trade/timber UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session 2-5 October 2001