LMI for WIOA State and Regional Strategic Plans LMI Data ...

LMI for WIOA State and Regional Strategic Plans LMI Data ...

1 LMI for WIOA State and Regional Strategic Plans LMI Data, Tools, and Analysis State of Michigan Department of Technology, Management, and Budget Bureau of Labor Market Information and Strategic Initiatives The Bureau of Labor Market Information and Strategic Initiatives We are the official source for high quality demographic and labor market information for the state of Michigan and its regions. We administer the states federal-state cooperative programs with the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Census Bureau and produce high-quality information and analysis through grants from the U.S. Department of Labor and from partner agencies in the state of Michigan. We provide our national, state, and local partners and customers

with accurate, objective, reliable, timely, accessible, and transparent information and insights. Our Role in WIOA We believe WIOA represents a sea change not only for federal workforce policy, but also for labor market information offices like ours. We are taking advantage of this opportunity! Our role: Providing thought leadership and statutory interpretation regarding the Act. Ensuring federal-state cooperative programs are producing the types of information required by the Act. Aligning bureau products and services to the information needs of our customers. You! 4 Source: National Association of State Workforce Agencies LMI Data and Tools for WIOA Workshop

Goal: Understand the data and analysis needed for state and regional plans and learn about data Steps (Leonidas Murembya) Analysis of states economy LMI training of local users Data and Tools (Scott Powell)

New and Existing Products Forthcoming Publications WIOA Section 102 State Plan (1) Strategic Planning Elements The unified State plan shall include strategic planning elements consisting of a strategic vision and goals for preparing an educated and skilled workforce that include (A) an analysis of the economic conditions in the State, including: (i) existing and emerging in-demand industry sectors and occupations; and; (ii) the employment needs of employers, including a description of the knowledge, skills, and abilities, needed in those industries and occupations; (B) an analysis of the current workforce, employment and unemployment data, labor market trends, and the educational and skill levels of the workforce, including individuals with barriers to employment (including individuals with disabilities), in the State Annual Michigan Population Growth, 2000-2014 7 1.2% 1.0% 0.8%

0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.4% -0.3% -0.3%

-0.6% -0.5% -0.5% -0.8% 20 -0 00 1 20 -0 01 2 20 -0 02 3 20

-0 03 4 -05 -06 -07 -08 -09 -10 -11 -12 -13 -14 4 5 1 2 6 7 8 9 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 00 200 200 200 200 Michigan United 20 2States 20 20 20

20 16.0 5,200,000 14.0 12.0 10.0 4,800,000 8.0 4,600,000 6.0 4,400,000 4.0 4,200,000 2.0 4,000,000 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 1 5 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 ay M

0.0 Jobless Rate Labor Force Employment Employment and Labor Force Levels 5,400,000 5,000,000 Jobless Rate 8 Employment Status of Michigan Workforce, 2000-2014 Labor Force Status of Individuals with Barriers to Employment 9

In 2014, the participation rate for individuals with disabilities was estimated at 21 percent, considerably lower than that for those with no disability (67 percent). Individuals with disabilities also faced higher unemployment rates measuring 13.5 percent, nearly double the 7.0 percent reported for those with no disability. 17 percent of Michigans population lived in poverty in 2013, similar to the nations poverty rate of about 16 percent in the same year. In Michigan, about 54 percent of these individuals participated in the labor force, with only 36 percent actually holding a job, resulting in an unemployment rate of 32 percent, lower than the national jobless rate of almost 34 percent for this group (but over 3.5 times the statewide rate of 8.8 percent for all individuals in 2013). Close to half of individuals with limited English ability in the working age of 16 years and over (about 126,000) did not participate in the labor force in 2013. Labor Force Status of Individuals with Barriers to Employment Older Individuals (55+) 10

An aging population and the recent Great Recession resulted in workers staying longer in the labor force. In fact, as of 2013, the labor force participation rate of persons between the ages of 55 and 64 was estimated at 59.0 percent; an increase of 1.4 percentage points since 2005. On the other hand, the rate for all individuals in the working age (16 and more) was 61.2 percent, in 2013; a decline of four percentage points since 2005. About 20 percent of the 65-74 years old individuals still participated in the labor force with an unemployment rate of 6.2 percent, in 2013. Labor Force Status of Individuals with Barriers to Employment Long-term Unemployed 11 350,000 Long-Term Unemployed 300,000 60.0% Percent Long-Term Unemployed

49.7% 50.0% 45.9% 250,000 42.5% 40.8% 40.0% 36.5% 200,000 34.7% 30.0% 30.0% 24.5% 150,000

21.2% 20.0% 100,000 10.0% 50,000 3.5% - 2000 2003 2006 2009 2010 2011 2012

2013 2014 2015* 0.0% Michigan Payroll Employment Recent Trend Employment Index 12 102 100% marker 100 98 96 94 92 90 88 86 84 2007

2008 2009 2010 Michigan 2011 U.S. 2012 2013 2014 Michigans In-demand Industries 13 Michigans Top 10 Existing/Current In-demand Industries Current Jobs Industry Actual

Projected Weekly Job Share of 2012-14 Job 2-Year Job Wage '14 Multiplier GSP* Change Growth Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 165,490 12.2% 5.3% $1,316 4.2 7.6% Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 17,810 18.0%

7.6% $1,386 2.0 3.0% 257,640 8.2% 5.7% $1,375 2.1 7.1% Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments 12,430 10.5%

7.2% $2,195 1.6 0.4% Management of Companies and Enterprises 57,530 6.5% 6.2% $1,910 3.0 2.0% Construction of Buildings 31,190 15.9%

10.5% $971 2.0 3.0% Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 91,860 6.8% 4.5% $1,298 2.6 6.5% Truck Transportation 41,290

12.9% 7.8% $927 2.2 0.9% Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 36,390 12.5% 7.0% $953 2.8 0.8% Machinery Manufacturing 68,630

5.8% 4.3% $1,210 2.8 1.6% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Notes: These industries ranked highest on all six factors altogether; *GSP = State Gross Domestic Product Michigans In-demand Industries 14 Michigans Top 10 Emerging/Long-term In-demand Industries Industry Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 2022 Employment

10-Year Growth Weekly Wage '14 Job Multiplier Share of GSP* 291,620 18.1% $1,375 2.1 7.1% 14,260 22.1%

$2,195 1.6 0.4% Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 176,270 12.9% $1,316 4.2 7.6% Ambulatory Health Care Services 231,340 21.6% $1,032 2.0

3.8% Specialty Trade Contractors 102,680 18.9% $1,011 2.0 3.0% Management of Companies and Enterprises 59,370 8.7% $1,910 3.0 2.0%

Construction of Buildings 34,090 24.2% $971 2.0 3.0% Wholesale Electronic Markets and Agents and Brokers 26,790 11.8% $1,532 2.6 6.5% Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction 16,210

15.9% $1,386 2.0 3.0% Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 96,650 9.1% $1,298 2.6 6.5% Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments Notes: These industries ranked highest on all five factors altogether; *GSP = State Gross Domestic Product

Michigans In-demand Occupations 15 Michigans Top 10 Existing/Current In-demand Occupations Occupational Title Employment Real-Time Short-Term Hourly 2012 Ads Growth Wage Education and Training Mechanical Engineers 31,120 3,080 1,880 $42.67 Bachelors degree Industrial Engineers 24,420

4,157 1,390 $37.96 Bachelors degree General and Operations Managers 51,610 988 1,560 $43.67 Bachelors degree Computer Systems Analysts 13,470 1,771 770 $38.46 Bachelors degree

Software Developers, Applications 14,880 1,677 920 $37.74 Bachelors degree Registered Nurses 93,990 6,045 770 $31.47 Associates degree Accountants and Auditors 30,360 1,251 1,020 $29.67

Bachelors degree Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Mfg. 53,990 1,727 1,710 $25.44 High school Management Analysts 13,600 1,224 580 $36.73 Bachelors degree Sales Managers 10,670

956 340 $51.36 Bachelors degree Notes: These occupations ranked highest on employment size, real-time job ads, numeric and percent job growth, and wage Michigans In-demand Occupations 16 Michigans Top 10 Emerging/Long-term In-demand Occupations Jobs 2012 % Job Total Average Jobs Growth Annual Hourly 2022 2012-22 Openings Wage Computer Systems Analysts

13,470 16,510 22.6% 516 $38.46 Bachelor's Software Developers, Applications 14,880 18,050 21.3% 509 $37.74 Bachelor's Physical Therapists

8,020 9,840 22.7% 379 $38.28 Doctoral/professional Software Developers, Systems Software 9,060 10,840 19.6% 294 $41.96 Bachelor's 24,420

28,060 14.9% 1,078 $37.96 Bachelor's Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 9,980 12,890 29.2% 427 $26.87 Bachelor's Physician Assistants 3,590

4,450 24.0% 151 $45.42 Master's 31,120 35,020 12.5% 1,452 $42.67 Bachelor's Personal Financial Advisors 5,340

6,720 25.8% 224 $30.19 Bachelor's Dental Hygienists 9,030 10,660 18.1% 394 $29.10 Associate's Occupation Title Industrial Engineers

Mechanical Engineers Education and Training Notes: These occupations ranked highest on employment size, numeric and percent job growth, wage, and annual job opening WIOA Section 108 Local Plan (b) CONTENTS.The local plan shall include (1) a description of the strategic planning elements consisting of (A) an analysis of the regional economic conditions including (i) existing and emerging in-demand industry sectors and occupations; and (ii) the employment needs of employers in those industry sectors and occupations; (B) an analysis of the knowledge and skills needed to meet the employment needs of the employers in the region, including employment needs in in-demand industry sectors and occupations; (C) an analysis of the workforce in the region, including current labor force employment (and unemployment) data, and information on labor market trends, and the educational and skill levels of the workforce in the region, including individuals with barriers to employment; LMI Certification Program for Local Users

Section 106(c)(1) of the new Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) requires that The local boards and chief elected officials in each planning region described in subparagraph (B) or (C) of subsection (a)(2) shall engage in a regional planning process that results in (A) the preparation of a regional plan, as described in paragraph (2); (B) the establishment of regional service strategies, including use of cooperative service delivery agreements; (C) the development and implementation of sector initiatives for in-demand industry sectors or occupations for the region; (D) the collection and analysis of regional labor market data (in conjunction with the State); What this means is that local boards and elected officials must have staff that understands the working of labor market information (LMI); Thus, LMI Certification Program for Local Users Learning Objectiv es Gain a better understanding of how demographic and labor market information is organized and where it can be

obtained. Use real-world case studies to understand how to apply demographic and labor market information to better assist local area customers. Results of the Pilot LMI Certification Program 24 Economic and Labor Force Developers from All 10 Michigans Prosperity Regions Were Trained. The topics covered include: General LMI concepts and organization Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Current Employment Statistics (CES) Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Industry and Occupational Employment Forecast Unemployment claims Population estimates, census, and projections Local Employment Dynamics OnTheMap tool

Other data: Real-time job demand online Michigan Fast Facts App Pilot Training Evaluation Results Evaluation rate: 208 of 264 possible evaluations of the 11 program areas of training or a participation rate of 79%. Participants were to evaluate each of the 11 programs in which they were trained on the following factors: Overall satisfaction; Content; and Clarity. LMI Certification Program Overall Rating 70% 64% 60% 50% 40% 30% 21% 20%

14% 10% 2% 0% Very useful Useful Somewhat useful Not useful LMI Certification Program Content Rating 80% 72% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

22% 3% 2% 1% LMI Certification Program Clarity Rating 70% 66% 60% 50% 40% 30% 25% 20% 10% 0% 5% 3%

1% LMI Certification Program Handouts Rating 70% 64% 60% 50% 40% 30% 26% 20% 10% 0% 7% 1% 1% LMI trainees Testimonies??

Here in Macomb County we frequently use the data provided by your team as a integral portion of our market research that we both provide on our website and directly to our clients. It's an extremely valuable business attraction and retention tool. Nick Posavetz ---Senior Planner, Marketing & Communications, Macomb County. I have already used it to respond to an RFI for a potential attraction project. Jennifer Stone--Business Development Associate & Research Manager, Cornerstone Alliance, Benton Harbor. Northeast Michigan is using the LMI datasets to fulfill requests for information from economic and business development inquiries as well as in the strategic and master planning processes in local communities to help them set a direction for their future. Denise Cline---- Chief Planner/Deputy Director, Northeast Michigan Council of Governments. Since the certification training I have reached out to my regional analyst from LMI (Michelle Wein) several times to provide expertise on projects that I needed assistance with. This wouldnt have been possible had we not met at the certification training. Dave Riley---- Business Research Manager, The Right Place. LMI trainees Testimonies?? I was already pretty in tune with labor market data, as I was EMSI certified earlier in 2015. However, understanding the specific data sets associated with milmi.org was helpful. To be honest, the most value I got out of the training was connecting face-to-face with Luke Bunge, our regions analyst, who has already helped me with two separate data requests that have

been needed to proceed with initiatives targeting underserved subsets of our community. Keith Lambert ---Tri-County Development Manager, Lansing Economic Area Partnership. WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications

In-Demand Occupations Michigans Hot 50 State-wide list based on projections through 2022 Just released last week Career Outlook Regional In-Demand Occupations Forthcoming over the next year Transition to prosperity regions In-Demand Occupations Michigans Hot 50

State-wide list based on projections through 2022 Just released last week Career Outlook Regional In-Demand Occupations Forthcoming over the next year Transition to prosperity regions WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications

WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications

LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications

LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications Annual Planning Information Reports 45 Produced once a year for each Michigan Prosperity Region Labor Demand Household labor force and employment Commuting patterns and characteristics of workers Payroll jobs

Top employers Growing/declining industries Occupational employment Jobs in demand by educational requirements Real-time job demand Annual Planning Information Reports 46 Labor Supply

Population demographics and change Unemployed individuals and characteristics Talent Connect Jobseekers by education and skill levels Career technical centers enrollment and graduation High-school graduates Community colleges graduates Annual Planning Information Reports 47 Individuals with barriers to employment Welfare registrants Individuals living below the poverty threshold Individuals with limited English proficiency Older workers WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications

LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications Our Team: How can we help? Regions 1 & 10

Bruce Weaver [email protected] Regions 3, 5 & 6 Kevin Doyle [email protected] Regions 8, 9 & 10 Leonidas Murembya [email protected] Regions 2, 4 & 10

Michelle Wein [email protected] Regions 7 & 9 Luke Bunge [email protected] QUESTIONS Leonidas Murembya, Department of Technology, Management and Budget [email protected] 517-241-6574 Scott Powell, Department of Technology, Management and Budget [email protected] (517) 241-8665 Jason Palmer, Department of Technology, Management and Budget (517) 335-5267 [email protected] WIOA Support: Tools, Products, and Publications

LMI Certification Program In-Demand Occupations LMISI Website Michigan LMI Fast Facts Portal Real-Time Labor Demand Analysis Monthly Regional Reports Annual Planning Information Reports Forthcoming Publications Workforce Longitudinal Data System Linked administrative databases including workforce, education and wage record information Grant-funded through USDOL Workforce Data Quality Initiative

Sister initiative to the Statewide Longitudinal Data System (SLDS) Managed by the Michigan Workforce Development Agency Role of LMISI: Research and Analysis Workforce Longitudinal Data System Round One (2012-2015) Round Two (2015-2018)

Focus on building the data system Limited scope of analysis (WDA customers only) Products: White papers Focus on expanding the data system Greater scope of analysis Products: program performance and evaluation What would be useful for you? Where Do I Find Data on the Population in my County? State and counties: www.michigan.gov/lmi; Click on the Population link on the left of the page (under Tour). For 2010-2014 population estimates, click on Demographic Data and then on Michigan Counties Total Population 2010-2014 Click on Historical data for Census data before 2010 (as far back as 1790 for some variables) Where Do I Find Data on the Labor Force in my County?

Civilian labor force : employed and unemployed State and Regions (Counties, and Cities and Townships with a population of 25,000 or more): www.michigan.gov/lmi; Click on Data Explorer, and then look for Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS). Nation and Other States: www.bls.gov/lau Where to Find Information on Occupations Employment levels by detailed occupation and Occupational forecasts (job outlook) State and regional www.michigan.gov/lmi; Data Explorer; Occupational long-term forecasts. National: www.bls.gov/emp/home.htm National industry staffing patterns On-line: http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_108.htm Where to Find Information on Wages by Occupation Occupational wages State and regional averages:

www.michigan.gov/lmi; click on the Data Explorer tab, then look for the link to Wages (OES) National: www.bls.gov/oes/home.htm 58 Where to Find Information on Industries Industry jobs (on-line at www.michigan.gov/lmi) Current Employment Statistics (CES) Monthly estimates for Michigan & metro areas (MSAs) Jobs and hours &earnings data by industry Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (ES-202) Quarterly estimates for Michigan, MSAs, regions & counties Number of establishments, jobs & average weekly wage Where to Find Information on Employers Employer Locator www.michigan.gov/lmi; Data Explorer; Find Employers (to the right-bottom of the page) Locate firms by city within a specific industry Locate firms by city employing a specific occupation

Where to Find Information Workers Commuting Patterns and Characteristics? Census Bureau: OnTheMap tool: http://onthemap.ces.census.gov Inflow/outflow Where do residents of the county work? Where do those that work in the county reside?

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